Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.024965 1.159907 1.306960 1.479271 1.675857 1.893392 2.152696
2026-02-01 0.791582 0.969207 1.179415 1.447231 1.780398 2.182544 2.706771
2026-02-08 0.658909 0.851194 1.091940 1.416880 1.846158 2.396829 3.161539
2026-02-15 0.581898 0.785217 1.051754 1.428960 1.952660 2.659305 3.693965
2026-02-22 0.517306 0.724511 1.007033 1.423485 2.027022 2.877959 4.182876
2026-03-01 0.461764 0.668251 0.959728 1.405178 2.075880 3.059395 4.631671
2026-03-08 0.407248 0.606725 0.897122 1.355458 2.069590 3.154451 4.955181
2026-03-15 0.372712 0.570623 0.867214 1.349788 2.126470 3.346669 5.446106
2026-03-22 0.358512 0.563625 0.879809 1.409792 2.290340 3.720229 6.269360
2026-03-29 0.331905 0.534334 0.854387 1.405416 2.347617 3.924181 6.827106
2026-04-05 0.313381 0.516161 0.844686 1.425126 2.445637 4.203721 7.544584
2026-04-12 0.289623 0.487099 0.814261 1.406201 2.473983 4.363722 8.061390
2026-04-19 0.263898 0.454597 0.778752 1.381550 2.501661 4.546912 8.687541
2026-04-26 0.239387 0.422327 0.741354 1.351106 2.518368 4.717798 9.326556
2026-05-03 0.218270 0.393845 0.707536 1.322899 2.534766 4.887884 9.984277
2026-05-10 0.205053 0.378361 0.695550 1.334131 2.627886 5.216885 11.013890
2026-05-17 0.191092 0.360071 0.676409 1.329040 2.687154 5.483713 11.946912
2026-05-24 0.177125 0.340411 0.652687 1.312018 2.719399 5.697297 12.790992
2026-05-31 0.161273 0.315607 0.616599 1.265782 2.684377 5.762472 13.303694
2026-06-07 0.151353 0.301725 0.600928 1.260508 2.737025 6.025038 14.318216
2026-06-14 0.148376 0.301664 0.613244 1.316308 2.931317 6.629278 16.253072
2026-06-21 0.139890 0.289380 0.599011 1.312238 2.988529 6.923050 17.452645
2026-06-28 0.134079 0.282238 0.594987 1.330565 3.099942 7.358724 19.085323